We don’t have hyperinflation. Interest rates are near historic lows. Other factors are in play.
In high population density areas such as New York City and San Francisco, where our family own properties, both rents and property prices have risen dramatically. Property where I paid $200,000 at auction in 1994 is worth well over $1,000,000 today. I rented to a tenant of 10 years, just moved, charged him $1,200 for a 2BR back then, didn’t raise the rent since. I’m told market rents are now $1,800.
The home that I grew up in, my dad paid $25,000 in 1963. He died a few years ago, and was sold for well over a million. It was an apartment over some stores. A developer bought it, demolished it, and built a small 6 unit condo.
How did that happen??
The supply of housing cannot keep up for demand. Population in my county in NYC increase by 108,000 from 2010 to 2015, and housing starts is only a fraction of that. The availability of land isn’t there, and much of the demand can only be met by upzoning, demolition and rebuilding.
In these gateway cities, immigration accounts for a good deal of it, where inflows of people greatly outnumber the outflow. These immigrants will only go somewhere, like NYC or San Francisco, where their language is spoken and familiar with their culture. They’re not flying into Iowa, for instance.
The other problem with increased population is traffic congestion. Its increasingly expensive and time consuming to drive into the city or commute to the city. So it is far easier to move closer to the city. Increased parking fees at railroad stations and train fares makes the increased rents comparable. So peoples been moving from the suburbs to the city.
Then there’s the availability of jobs, entertainment, that makes cities attractive. This compares to upstate NY, where the real estate markets are far different.