Re: … - Posted by eric-fl
Posted by eric-fl on July 24, 2005 at 15:37:31:
I have the France course, as well as others. IMO, the France course paints far too optimistic a picture for sub-2, especially in this environment. In Indianapolis, where they live, you can still take over properties that are 3/2, 1500 sf, for 125k, all day long. Those nice, newer properties, in areas with good schools, and will cash flow all day long.
In an appreciating area like Florida, New York, New England, mid-atlantic states, or California, (where about 48% of the U.S. population live), that simply is not going to happen. Properties in median-priced areas, simply will not cash flow, on a lease/option, especially in such an easy-money environment. Anyone who has 3k down and $1200 a month, is going to BUY a property, TODAY, not lease it in the “hopes” of buying it in a year or two. Why should they? With all of the interest-only/ARM-financing available right now, even to sub-prime buyers, there is no reason to wait until rates go up. If anything, they may lose on their appreciation bet, but, so what? Right now, they’re losing on rent anyway, and they know it. Rental inflation in the areas described above has been flat, or even declining, for at least the last three years.
So, whether or not this style of investing will be profitable, is going to be HIGHLY dependent on your local market. Bob and Charlie will dispute this - but, they have courses to sell, and they live in Indianapolis.
All that being said, if you ARE in a middle level, “flyover country” market, their style of investing will probably work great. Think Indy, K.C., OK City, Dallas, etc. Middle, both figuratively, and literally.
The France course doesn’t really address cash reserve issues - but, in my, and many others opinion, you should have reserves, yes. The France course actually paints evictions like they are a GOOD thing, and maybe they are, in an 8 or 9% interest rate market (when you can refill quickly, and get another option fee). But, we are not in an 8 or 9% market, or anything close to it. IMO, 3 months payments per property, until you get about 20-25k, is a good rule of thumb.