Posted by Bob Smith on April 16, 2006 at 14:43:28:
In an easy credit cycle (like right now) private notes tend to sell for low yields and are very hard to find because few are originated and most of the existing stock are paid off by refinancing, rather the opposite of what you want, I would think.
I’m looking to get started in RE investing. I was thinking of getting started with a 4 unit owner occupied residentail property. That way, I can get a high CLTV (hopefully 90-95%). Unfortunately, the properties in the area I live in (Southern California) are extremely overpriced (4-5 cap rates). So, I’m thinking that I should wait a year or two until the market is in a downturn. I really do believe in the concept “buy when no one wants to buy”. But that means a long wait. There could be other risks in waiting - like the lending may get very tight. What would you do?
I am in RE pretty deep. But if I was not, I would not get in until interest rates were high, with the idea that when rates fall the market will make a big move up. In the mean time, I would be investing in notes.