Re: Y2K - Posted by MichaelR (NoVA)
Posted by MichaelR (NoVA) on December 14, 1998 at 15:30:28:
I actually have some expertise in this area. There is no way that government or industry will be completely ready for Y2K when it hits. They have basically admitted so - in fact, several government agencies project that they will not be Y2K compliant until after 2020!
Anyway, the question isn’t so much will we be ready as it is what is the heck is going to happen. No one really knows the answer to that one. The danger spots are things like our utilities, water, financial institutions, telecommunications, and etc. If power goes out for any extended period of time, especially in an urban environment, a nasty potential is there.
So anyway, the moral here is just be prepared. Chances are nothing major is going to happen, but just in case it does, don’t be caught with your pants down. Or, to put it in REI terms, make sure your CYA clauses are all fulfilled.
Don’t believe the hype. As with most things, the truth about Y2K will most likely lie somewhere in between the polyanna and the doomsday crowd. I’ll meet you here on Jan 1, 2000 to talk about it.
I’ll leave you with a quote from the two top members of the Senate Special Committee on the Year 2000 Technology Problem.
Senator Christopher Dodd (D-Connecticut), vice-chairman of the Committee, said, “Quite honestly, I think we’re no longer at the point of asking whether or not there will be any power disruptions, but we are now forced to ask how severe the disruptions are going to be.”
Senator Bob Bennett (R-Utah), chairman of the Committee, echoed his concerns: “I think there is a virtual certainty that we’ll have brownouts and some regional blackouts.” He went on to say:
“We still have 18 months [from June 1998], and nobody really knows. So there is a very slim possibility that everything will work just fine. I think the chances of regional blackouts and heavy brownout activity throughout the grid are about 80 percent.”